The whole course of the next Labour Government may be very considerably affected by the outcome of two trade union elections which are to take place at the beginning of July. The million-strong engineers’ union, the aeu, is choosing its two chief officers, secretary and president.

Unlike many big unions, the aeu insists on subjecting its leaders to regular elections. In spite of this stern democratic practice, it is very unusual for a leading officer to experience defeat before he retires, and in the case of the office of secretary there is a well-established tradition that assistant secretaries step up a rank as their superiors retire. It is all the more surprising, then, that Sir William Carron, the present President, has experienced the indignity of being compelled to suffer a second ballot. Sir William, besides lending his moral authority to the Bank of England, is an important man in the trade union movement. Insofar as the old-line right wing in the aeu, or for that matter, the tuc, even, are possessed of a focal figure, Sir William is probably he. Normally apprehensive about the powers of shop stewards, some of whom he once described as ‘werewolves’, Sir William has, during the past months, experienced a notable conversion. As quite a number of business journalists have noticed, the strongly disciplinarian figure of the aeu president has recently been seen at the centre of storms of militant rhetoric, particularly during such important recent disputes as the Port Talbot strike. Somewhat ungratefully, the Financial Times ruefully ended a recent editorial with these words: ‘so long as the aeu retains its present constitution one must expect outbursts of militancy and policy vacillation in election years.’

But for all the pain which Sir William has caused the staff of the Financial Times, during his spectacularly dogged and intransigent television appearances of the last months, scant remains the pleasure (recorded in votes) which he has provided aeu members. Firstly, an overwhelming proportion of them abstained from voting. This is not at all unusual, but at least it declares no great love or enthusiasm for the present establishment within the union. But secondly, Sir William’s vote took a catastrophic plunge from its previous level. The last time he stood, he gained 57,000 votes, which was almost 23,000 more than the total combined poll of his opponents. This time, because he failed to gain more votes than his opponents’ combined total, he must fight again. The result of the first round was:

Table indicating the results of the engineers union elections, where most votes were for W.J. Carron with 44,529 votes, and R. Birch with 31,213 votes, who both went to second ballot, the remaining votes being 9158 for T. Thomas, 6150 for R. L. Boyd, and 4299 for G. Carlsson.