Afew weeks before the Israeli-Arab conflict last June, an uncharitable commentator compared the Baath to Samson. Blinded and weakened like the Biblical hero, he wrote, the party in power in Syria was doing its best to pull down the pillars of the temple which would kill it. Samson did not fail in his suicide. He also succeeded in burying his enemy the Philistines. The Baath, however, by no means destroyed the Israelis and their imperialist allies; on the other hand, it emerged very much alive from the ruins of military defeat.
Those who sought—and doubtless still seek—its death were nevertheless numerous. Since last autumn, the Israeli leaders have proclaimed their intention of overthrowing the Damascus régime, made solely responsible for the commando raids on Israeli territory. Since the seizure of power by the Left of the Baath in February 1966, the Americans have shown their disapproval of the Syrian leaders, whose political options seemed to lie mid-way between those of Moscow and Peking. In a talk to the businessmen of Latakia, the American ambassador reassured them with the following words: ‘Do not worry. In the
The British, deprived overnight of important contracts; the oil companies, who were forced to pay higher royalties under threat of nationalization; the conservative régimes of the Arab world, sapped by agitation sponsored by the Baath; not to speak of ‘friendly’ countries such as Iraq, embarrassed by propaganda from Damascus, do not nourish much affection for these left-wing, ‘semi-anarchist’ and ‘romantic’ socialists, whose revolutionary zeal—even if it lacks commensurate means of action—disrupts established order and the status quo.
If the Baath has many enemies, it has also won very few allies. One of the founders of the party recently said to me, somewhat bitterly: ‘The Baath leaders, it must be admitted, have an extraordinary gift for turning even potential friends into allies.’ On the eve of Israeli-Arab hostilities, neutral observers were unanimous in thinking that the Syrian régime had only limited popular support, in spite of the social measures it has taken in favour of the dispossessed classes. It was confronted with the hostility of the mercantile petit-bourgeoisie of the towns, the indifference of a part of the peasantry, restrained criticisms by the working-class, and the distrust of numerous intellectuals. The Muslim Brothers, the followers of the former leadership of the Baath (Michel Aflak, Salah el Bitar and Mounif el Razzaz) and even some small left-wing groupings were plotting against it, while Nasserites and Communists were supporting it almost against their will. The Soviet Union was giving it aid more from necessity than from sympathy.
One might, of course, explain the relative isolation of the Damascus régime at home and abroad in terms of its policies in recent months. Any such explanation, however, risks being superficial if it does not take account of the origins of the party and its leaders, of its past and present ideology, its organization, its activities and its very special role in the Arab world.