In the last two years, a series of events has occurred which, taken together, seemed to signify developments of such importance that even those observers of Irish politics most prone to relish or lament its apparent barren continuities have begun to contemplate the possibility of a radical opening of perspectives. Most attention has inevitably focused on initiatives concerning Northern Ireland, from the joint Declaration agreed by the British and Irish prime ministers on 15 December 1993, responding to unprecedented revisionist thinking amongst the leadership of the republican movement, through to the IRA’s cessation of hostilities announced on 31 August 1994, after a relentless ‘armed struggle’ against the British state for over twenty years.
Discussion of Irish politics in both Ireland and Britain has suffered from its narrow foci—on developments in Northern Ireland, on inter-governmental manoeuvring, and most breathlessly on the cryptic and often contradictory
This was the unprecedented performance of the Irish Labour Party in the general election of November 1992, in which it more than doubled its representation in the national parliament. That a national vote of 19.3 per cent should have generated such euphoria on the Irish Left was ironic comment on a historical experience which Peter Mair has summarized as ‘the striking electoral debility of class-based, left wing parties’.footnote1 Five years before the party had won a miserable 6.4 per cent and there appeared to be a real danger that it would be supplanted by the relatively new Workers’ Party.footnote2 The latter had emerged out of an earlier division in the republican movement and created a small but growing constituency as a leftist challenge to a Labour Party marked by an ideological minimalism symbolized by its regular participation in coalition government with Fine Gael, a party whose core support lay in the rural bourgeoisie. Labour’s recent success does little to detract from Mair’s assessment; its niche among young urbanites was astutely cultivated on the commodities of ‘morality’ and ‘principle’ cutting across class cleavage. This is unlikely to signal the realignment urged by the Left since the 1960s but it is clear that the juxtaposition of fiscal crisis, a secularizing agenda, and decomposition of traditional political culture has opened up the possibility that Labour could occupy a role in almost any future government.
Like the hitherto predominant party in Irish politics, Fianna Fail, Fine Gael had its roots in the broad nationalist front, Sinn Fein, which had led the politico-military campaign that destroyed British rule in the bulk of the island between 1919 and 1921. The Treaty settlement with England split Sinn Fein and caused the Civil War out of which the ancestors of Fine Gael emerged as the victors in 1923. The vanquished were to split further into a radical populist party, Fianna Fail, and an irreconcilable nationalist and militarist rump, Sinn Fein and the ira, who were convinced of the illegitimacy of both Northern Ireland and the Irish Free State.
Fianna Fail rose to pre-eminence through its capacity to rearticulate the powerful legacies of the nineteenth-century development of mass politics in Ireland which centred on two major cleavages—a nationalist and a Catholic mobilization against the Act of Union and its ‘internal’ manifestation, the Anglo-Irish, Protestant landlord class. The key to understanding the pervasively conservative disposition of the new state is